Rockingham County, VA — Solar Development Risk Assessment

Local solar ordinance barriers, board sentiment, and utility policies that affect development timelines and risk.

60.5
Risk Grade
Poor
Extremely Stringent ordinance; worsening trajectory. HB 711/SB 347: statewide setback floor and SE requirement apply; any above-floor restrictions reviewable. Shenandoah Valley agricultural identity means board will use SE discretion aggressively; denials still likely but ban structure removed.
Assessment Snapshot
Population
81,948
State Rank
#34
Compliance
80%
Trajectory
80

Moratorium Status

✓ No Active Moratorium
No Moratorium

Ordinance & Regulations

Setback Requirements
150 ft from property lines for transformers/substation equipment. 250 ft minimum setback from existing occupied dwellings. Public meeting required before SUP application submission.
Zoning Mechanism
SUP
Acreage Caps
1,800-acre cumulative cap for SUP projects. 50-acre per-site cap on agricultural land (exception: up to 450-acre cumulative cap for projects sized 50–150 acres). Source: DNR Online; Rockingham County Solar Power Ordinance
Density Caps
1,800-acre countywide aggregate is the density ceiling; per-project 50-acre limit is the separate size control
Spacing Rules
None codified
Size Restrictions
≤50 acres per site under A-1, A-2, and most zoning districts (SUP required for each site)

Board Sentiment & Political Risk

Sentiment Analysis
Opposition to farmland solar
Basis for Assessment
Project outcomes (denials/withdrawals/deferrals)
Political Risk Factors
Worsening
Board Members
Sallie Wolfe-Garrison | R | Jan 2028 Shawn Lynn | R | Jan 2028 Tony Wilt | R | Jan 2028 Michael Breeden | R | Jan 2028 Bryan Hutchins | R | Jan 2028 Bill Kyger | R | Jan 2028 Dewey Ritchie | R | Jan 2028

Grid, Utilities & State Context

Grid Operator
PJM / Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV) / Shenandoah Valley zone
Utilities
Shenandoah Valley Electric Co-op (SVEC), Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV)
State Permitting Process
Local permit: Special Use Permit (SUP) or Conditional Use Permit (CUP) in A-1 Agricultural zoning; issued by Board of Supervisors (BOS) or Planning Commission per county ordinance. Counties without zoning (Buchanan, Russell, Lee, Scott, etc.) proceed via revenue-sharing siting agreements. SCC CPCN: Va. Code §56-580 (as amended by HB 1558/SB 762, eff. Jul 2021) — SCC Certificate of Public Convenience & Necessity required for generating facilities ≥5 MW; waivable for utility-owned projects under SCC-approved IRP. DEQ Permit by Rule (PBR): Required for all solar facilities ≥1 MW per Va. Code §10.1-1197.6; includes VSMP/VPDES erosion & stormwater permits. Mar 2022 DEQ rule: solar panels counted as impervious surface same as parking lots. Revenue sharing: Va. Code §15.2-2288.7 — localities may require up to $1,400/MW-year for utility-scale solar on agricultural or forestal land; increases 10% in year 1 then every 5 years thereafter. VDACS notice: VA Dept. of Agriculture & Consumer Services must be notified for projects converting prime agricultural or forestal land. PENDING LEGISLATION (as of Mar 11, 2026): HB 711 (Herring) / SB 347 (VanValkenburg) both cleared both chambers and await Gov. Spanberger's signature (session ends Mar 14, 2026). If signed: (1) all localities must allow solar ≥1 MW via special exception — outright bans illegal; (2) statewide setback floor: 150–200 ft non-participating dwellings, 50–100 ft from state roads, 100–250 ft from streams/wetlands, 50–75 ft from property lines; (3) localities retain denial authority but must report reasons to SCC public database; (4) companion HB 891/SB 443: BESS permitted accessory use on approved solar SE sites. Spanberger is pro-solar; signature expected. Monitor: lis.virginia.gov.
State Incentives
Virginia Clean Economy Act (VCEA, 2020): Dominion must reach 100% carbon-free by 2045; Appalachian Power by 2050; major driver of utility-scale solar procurement. Net metering: available under VCEA for systems up to 1 MW (by-right); large-scale behind-the-meter negotiated. SCC SolarShare: Dominion program offering renewable energy credits. Virtual net metering (Virginia): programs vary by utility. DEQ review: required for solar facilities ≥150 MW (permit by rule) or DEQ standalone review. Utility: Dominion Energy Virginia serves 2/3 of VA; Appalachian Power (AEP) serves western VA; Northern Virginia Electric Coop (NOVEC) serves NoVA exurbs; various rural cooperatives and municipal utilities.

Development Activity

Active/Completed Projects
Multiple SUP approvals primarily in eastern / lower-density portions | 20–80 MW | 2019–2023 | SVEC / Dominion territory Elkton Solar (Dominion Energy) | ~60 MW / ~480 acres | SUP Approved 2021 | Operational Broadway Solar (Pine Gate Renewables) | ~80 MW / ~640 acres | SUP Approved 2022 | Eastern Rockingham | Under development [1,800-acre aggregate cap + 50-acre per-site limit in place; verify remaining capacity with Rockingham County Planning before any application]
Denied/Withdrawn Projects
MCG Solar | SUP-23-1734 | MW not stated in public minutes | DENIED 2024 — BOS; site-specific concerns and cap proximity cited | Source: Rockingham County BOS minutes 2024

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