Prince George County, VA — Solar Development Risk Assessment

Local solar ordinance barriers, board sentiment, and utility policies that affect development timelines and risk.

45.5
Risk Grade
Good
Hard geographic constraint (M-3 only) + explicit 0 additional acres outside M-3; high political risk for new proposals.
Assessment Snapshot
Population
40,875
State Rank
#19
Compliance
45%
Trajectory
50

Moratorium Status

✓ No Active Moratorium
No Moratorium

Ordinance & Regulations

Setback Requirements
Prince George County-specific SE/SUP conditions control — county-set setbacks vary from 50 ft (rural) to 300+ ft (residential adjacent). Verify current Prince George County zoning ordinance for adopted local setback standards.
Zoning Mechanism
New solar facilities: M-3 Heavy Industrial only, with Special Exception (CUP). No expansion of the five already-approved facilities outside M-3; 0 additional acres outside M-3 per policy.
Acreage Caps
Policy: no additional acreage approved outside M-3 zone; ~4,123 acres (~2.45% of county) already committed
Density Caps
Policy functional cap: no additional M-3 acreage; ~2.45% of county committed
Spacing Rules
Not specified; case-by-case evaluation under substantial accord/special use process
Size Restrictions
≥70 contiguous acres required as minimum aggregate parcel for a facility

Board Sentiment & Political Risk

Sentiment Analysis
Solar fatigue / highly restrictive going forward
Basis for Assessment
Policy explicitly states County has sufficient solar in pipeline and wants 0 additional acres outside M-3; new facilities only in heavy industrial district.
Political Risk Factors
Stable
Board Members
Floyd M. Brown Jr. | R | Nov 2027 (Chair, District 1) Sherrin C. Alsop | R | Nov 2027 Douglas W. Smith | R | Nov 2027 Km Annette Helton | R | Nov 2027 Leslie J. Smith | R | Nov 2027 Source: princegeorgecountyva.gov/departments/board_of_supervisors

Grid, Utilities & State Context

Grid Operator
PJM / Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV) transmission zone
Utilities
Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV), Central Virginia Electric Co-op (CVEC)
State Permitting Process
Local permit: Special Use Permit (SUP) or Conditional Use Permit (CUP) in A-1 Agricultural zoning; issued by Board of Supervisors (BOS) or Planning Commission per county ordinance. Counties without zoning (Buchanan, Russell, Lee, Scott, etc.) proceed via revenue-sharing siting agreements. SCC CPCN: Va. Code §56-580 (as amended by HB 1558/SB 762, eff. Jul 2021) — SCC Certificate of Public Convenience & Necessity required for generating facilities ≥5 MW; waivable for utility-owned projects under SCC-approved IRP. DEQ Permit by Rule (PBR): Required for all solar facilities ≥1 MW per Va. Code §10.1-1197.6; includes VSMP/VPDES erosion & stormwater permits. Mar 2022 DEQ rule: solar panels counted as impervious surface same as parking lots. Revenue sharing: Va. Code §15.2-2288.7 — localities may require up to $1,400/MW-year for utility-scale solar on agricultural or forestal land; increases 10% in year 1 then every 5 years thereafter. VDACS notice: VA Dept. of Agriculture & Consumer Services must be notified for projects converting prime agricultural or forestal land. PENDING LEGISLATION (as of Mar 11, 2026): HB 711 (Herring) / SB 347 (VanValkenburg) both cleared both chambers and await Gov. Spanberger's signature (session ends Mar 14, 2026). If signed: (1) all localities must allow solar ≥1 MW via special exception — outright bans illegal; (2) statewide setback floor: 150–200 ft non-participating dwellings, 50–100 ft from state roads, 100–250 ft from streams/wetlands, 50–75 ft from property lines; (3) localities retain denial authority but must report reasons to SCC public database; (4) companion HB 891/SB 443: BESS permitted accessory use on approved solar SE sites. Spanberger is pro-solar; signature expected. Monitor: lis.virginia.gov.
State Incentives
Virginia Clean Economy Act (VCEA, 2020): Dominion must reach 100% carbon-free by 2045; Appalachian Power by 2050; major driver of utility-scale solar procurement. Net metering: available under VCEA for systems up to 1 MW (by-right); large-scale behind-the-meter negotiated. SCC SolarShare: Dominion program offering renewable energy credits. Virtual net metering (Virginia): programs vary by utility. DEQ review: required for solar facilities ≥150 MW (permit by rule) or DEQ standalone review. Utility: Dominion Energy Virginia serves 2/3 of VA; Appalachian Power (AEP) serves western VA; Northern Virginia Electric Coop (NOVEC) serves NoVA exurbs; various rural cooperatives and municipal utilities.

Development Activity

Active/Completed Projects
Multiple CUP approvals | 20–100 MW | 2018–2024 | Dominion territory Hopewell Solar (Dominion Energy) | CUP Approved | Under development — SCC Docket referenced; CPCN interconnection route | Dominion territory; active pipeline including Hopewell industrial corridor Colonial Trail East (multiple developers) | ~80 MW | CUP Approved 2022 | Operational
Denied/Withdrawn Projects
No confirmed Board of Supervisors CUP/SUP denial on record for Prince George County as of Mar 2026. Virginia: 250 solar projects approved (~10 GW) statewide through 2025. 2025 trend: 2,022 MW approved vs 711 MW rejected first 9 months (Weldon Cooper Center). Verify current Prince George County project history at coopercenter.org or greenehurlocker.com. Source: Cardinal News Nov 30 2025; Weldon Cooper Center UVA

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