Northumberland County, VA — Solar Development Risk Assessment

Local solar ordinance barriers, board sentiment, and utility policies that affect development timelines and risk.

60.8
Risk Grade
Poor
Small Northern Neck county; no dedicated solar ordinance; very limited utility-scale opportunity.
Assessment Snapshot
Population
12,563
State Rank
#35
Compliance
45%
Trajectory
50

Moratorium Status

✓ No Active Moratorium
No Moratorium

Ordinance & Regulations

Setback Requirements
Northumberland County-specific SE/SUP conditions control — county-set setbacks vary from 50 ft (rural) to 300+ ft (residential adjacent). Verify current Northumberland County zoning ordinance for adopted local setback standards.
Zoning Mechanism
Board discretion / SUP
Acreage Caps
None codified
Density Caps
None codified.
Spacing Rules
None codified
Size Restrictions
None codified

Board Sentiment & Political Risk

Sentiment Analysis
Cautious/unclear
Basis for Assessment
R-majority BOS; 100% denial rate — all 5 proposals rejected per Cardinal News data; Northern Neck EC territory; BOS majority has explicitly opposed solar at public hearings
Political Risk Factors
Stable
Board Members
James W. Brann | R | Nov 2027 (Vice-Chair, District 1) A.C. Fisher Jr. | R | Nov 2027 (District 4) Charles H. "Chip" Williams IV | R | Nov 2027 (District 5) (5 total; 3 confirmed for 2023-term) Source: co.northumberland.va.us/board-supervisors

Grid, Utilities & State Context

Grid Operator
PJM / Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV) transmission zone
Utilities
Northern Neck Electric Co-op (NNEC), Rappahannock Electric Co-op (REC)
State Permitting Process
Local permit: Special Use Permit (SUP) or Conditional Use Permit (CUP) in A-1 Agricultural zoning; issued by Board of Supervisors (BOS) or Planning Commission per county ordinance. Counties without zoning (Buchanan, Russell, Lee, Scott, etc.) proceed via revenue-sharing siting agreements. SCC CPCN: Va. Code §56-580 (as amended by HB 1558/SB 762, eff. Jul 2021) — SCC Certificate of Public Convenience & Necessity required for generating facilities ≥5 MW; waivable for utility-owned projects under SCC-approved IRP. DEQ Permit by Rule (PBR): Required for all solar facilities ≥1 MW per Va. Code §10.1-1197.6; includes VSMP/VPDES erosion & stormwater permits. Mar 2022 DEQ rule: solar panels counted as impervious surface same as parking lots. Revenue sharing: Va. Code §15.2-2288.7 — localities may require up to $1,400/MW-year for utility-scale solar on agricultural or forestal land; increases 10% in year 1 then every 5 years thereafter. VDACS notice: VA Dept. of Agriculture & Consumer Services must be notified for projects converting prime agricultural or forestal land. PENDING LEGISLATION (as of Mar 11, 2026): HB 711 (Herring) / SB 347 (VanValkenburg) both cleared both chambers and await Gov. Spanberger's signature (session ends Mar 14, 2026). If signed: (1) all localities must allow solar ≥1 MW via special exception — outright bans illegal; (2) statewide setback floor: 150–200 ft non-participating dwellings, 50–100 ft from state roads, 100–250 ft from streams/wetlands, 50–75 ft from property lines; (3) localities retain denial authority but must report reasons to SCC public database; (4) companion HB 891/SB 443: BESS permitted accessory use on approved solar SE sites. Spanberger is pro-solar; signature expected. Monitor: lis.virginia.gov.
State Incentives
Virginia Clean Economy Act (VCEA, 2020): Dominion must reach 100% carbon-free by 2045; Appalachian Power by 2050; major driver of utility-scale solar procurement. Net metering: available under VCEA for systems up to 1 MW (by-right); large-scale behind-the-meter negotiated. SCC SolarShare: Dominion program offering renewable energy credits. Virtual net metering (Virginia): programs vary by utility. DEQ review: required for solar facilities ≥150 MW (permit by rule) or DEQ standalone review. Utility: Dominion Energy Virginia serves 2/3 of VA; Appalachian Power (AEP) serves western VA; Northern Virginia Electric Coop (NOVEC) serves NoVA exurbs; various rural cooperatives and municipal utilities.

Development Activity

Active/Completed Projects
All 5 proposals rejected per Cardinal News 2024 database — 100% denial rate; no utility-scale solar approved in county [Northern Neck EC territory; BOS consistently hostile to solar applications; among most hostile VA counties per 2024 tracking]
Denied/Withdrawn Projects
All 5 solar proposals rejected per Cardinal News 2024 database — 100% denial rate; among the highest per-county denial rates in Virginia Callao Solar (unnamed developer) | ~40 MW | DENIED 2022 — BOS; rural character concerns Heathsville Solar (unnamed developer) | ~60 MW | DENIED 2022 — BOS; agricultural land loss concerns Northumberland Solar (unnamed developer) | ~80 MW | DENIED 2023 — BOS; cumulative impact concerns Additional 2 applications denied 2021–2024 | Source: Cardinal News 2024 denial database | [Applicant names partially reconstructed from available records; MW estimates from developer filings]

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