Hanover County, VA — Solar Development Risk Assessment

Local solar ordinance barriers, board sentiment, and utility policies that affect development timelines and risk.

56
Risk Grade
Fair
Growing opposition; ordinance tightened post-2022; high community organized resistance; worsening political trajectory.
Assessment Snapshot
Population
109,053
State Rank
#30
Compliance
60%
Trajectory
80

Moratorium Status

✓ No Active Moratorium
No Moratorium

Ordinance & Regulations

Setback Requirements
Hanover County-specific SE/SUP conditions control — county-set setbacks vary from 50 ft (rural) to 300+ ft (residential adjacent). Verify current Hanover County zoning ordinance for adopted local setback standards.
Zoning Mechanism
A-1, Agricultural | SUP
Acreage Caps
No codified cap; managed via SUP conditions
Density Caps
No codified cap; managed via SUP conditions
Spacing Rules
Viewshed and scenic corridor protections emphasized.
Size Restrictions
~150–300 ac typical via SUP

Board Sentiment & Political Risk

Sentiment Analysis
Increasingly resistant; organized opposition
Basis for Assessment
Project outcomes (denials/withdrawals/deferrals); Public opposition evidence (petitions/hearings/organized groups)
Political Risk Factors
Worsening
Board Members
Sean M. Davis | R | Nov 2027 (Chair, Henry District) Jeff S. Stoneman | R | Nov 2027 (Vice Chair, Beaverdam District) — led unanimous denial of North Anna River Solar Sep 2024 Susan P. Dibble | R | Nov 2027 (South Anna District) F. Michael Herzberg IV | R | Nov 2027 (Cold Harbor District) Danielle Grieshaber Floyd | R | Nov 2027 (Chickahominy District) Ryan M. Hudson | R | Nov 2027 (Mechanicsville District) Faye O. Prichard | R | Nov 2027 (Ashland District) Source: hanovercounty.gov/427/Board-of-Supervisors

Grid, Utilities & State Context

Grid Operator
PJM / Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV) transmission zone
Utilities
Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV), Rappahannock Electric Co-op (REC)
State Permitting Process
Local permit: Special Use Permit (SUP) or Conditional Use Permit (CUP) in A-1 Agricultural zoning; issued by Board of Supervisors (BOS) or Planning Commission per county ordinance. Counties without zoning (Buchanan, Russell, Lee, Scott, etc.) proceed via revenue-sharing siting agreements. SCC CPCN: Va. Code §56-580 (as amended by HB 1558/SB 762, eff. Jul 2021) — SCC Certificate of Public Convenience & Necessity required for generating facilities ≥5 MW; waivable for utility-owned projects under SCC-approved IRP. DEQ Permit by Rule (PBR): Required for all solar facilities ≥1 MW per Va. Code §10.1-1197.6; includes VSMP/VPDES erosion & stormwater permits. Mar 2022 DEQ rule: solar panels counted as impervious surface same as parking lots. Revenue sharing: Va. Code §15.2-2288.7 — localities may require up to $1,400/MW-year for utility-scale solar on agricultural or forestal land; increases 10% in year 1 then every 5 years thereafter. VDACS notice: VA Dept. of Agriculture & Consumer Services must be notified for projects converting prime agricultural or forestal land. PENDING LEGISLATION (as of Mar 11, 2026): HB 711 (Herring) / SB 347 (VanValkenburg) both cleared both chambers and await Gov. Spanberger's signature (session ends Mar 14, 2026). If signed: (1) all localities must allow solar ≥1 MW via special exception — outright bans illegal; (2) statewide setback floor: 150–200 ft non-participating dwellings, 50–100 ft from state roads, 100–250 ft from streams/wetlands, 50–75 ft from property lines; (3) localities retain denial authority but must report reasons to SCC public database; (4) companion HB 891/SB 443: BESS permitted accessory use on approved solar SE sites. Spanberger is pro-solar; signature expected. Monitor: lis.virginia.gov.
State Incentives
Virginia Clean Economy Act (VCEA, 2020): Dominion must reach 100% carbon-free by 2045; Appalachian Power by 2050; major driver of utility-scale solar procurement. Net metering: available under VCEA for systems up to 1 MW (by-right); large-scale behind-the-meter negotiated. SCC SolarShare: Dominion program offering renewable energy credits. Virtual net metering (Virginia): programs vary by utility. DEQ review: required for solar facilities ≥150 MW (permit by rule) or DEQ standalone review. Utility: Dominion Energy Virginia serves 2/3 of VA; Appalachian Power (AEP) serves western VA; Northern Virginia Electric Coop (NOVEC) serves NoVA exurbs; various rural cooperatives and municipal utilities.

Development Activity

Active/Completed Projects
Peppertown Road Solar (Ameresco Solar) | 5 MW | 22 acres | APPROVED; $140,250 upfront + $1,400/MW annually; $420,000 projected over 40-yr life. Source: wric.com Anthem Solar Farm (SunEnergy1) | 20 MW | 182 acres | OPERATIONAL 2020 | 15-yr PPA signed 2020. Source: solarpowerworldonline.com
Denied/Withdrawn Projects
North Anna River Solar (Strata Clean Energy) | 72 MW | ~1,500 acres | DENIED unanimously Sep 26 2024 — BOS vote; Planning Commission recommended denial Jul 2024; developer had increased river setbacks from 500→750 ft and reduced panel acreage from 342→250 acres; Supervisor Jeff Stoneman raised North Anna River impact concerns. Source: vpm.org Sep 26 2024

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