Fluvanna County, VA — Solar Development Risk Assessment

Local solar ordinance barriers, board sentiment, and utility policies that affect development timelines and risk.

55.2
Risk Grade
Fair
3% land cap (~1,800 acres); high-profile denials; strongly anti-solar BOS majority. HB 711/SB 347: 3% cap at current saturation is near-total restriction; likely challengeable as unreasonable restriction once cap effectively prohibits new applications. Board hostility means denials via SE process still probable even with new framework.
Assessment Snapshot
Population
28,286
State Rank
#28
Compliance
80%
Trajectory
50

Moratorium Status

✓ No Active Moratorium
No Moratorium

Ordinance & Regulations

Setback Requirements
S-1 Solar Overlay rezoning required for all utility-scale solar (Oct 2024 comprehensive ordinance overhaul). Utility-scale solar removed from A-1 Agricultural permitted uses (BOS vote 4-1, Jul 2024). Standard A-district setbacks apply pending new S-1 zone adoption.
Zoning Mechanism
CUP, SE
Acreage Caps
3% of total county land (~1,800 acres) for utility-scale solar (ZTA 24:04, Oct 2024)
Density Caps
3% countywide cap is the density control; no separate per-project limit
Spacing Rules
≥1 mile buffers from sensitive habitats and historic sites under active deliberation; not yet formally codified
Size Restrictions
≤500 acres per utility-scale facility (Planning Commission recommendation codified via SUP conditions)

Board Sentiment & Political Risk

Sentiment Analysis
Highly negative
Basis for Assessment
Project outcomes (denials/withdrawals/deferrals); Policy signal (tightening/repeal/ban/caps/spacing)
Political Risk Factors
Stable
Board Members
Patricia Eager | R | Jan 2028 Mozell Booker | D | Jan 2028 John Sheridan | R | Jan 2028 Tony O'Brien | R | Jan 2028 Miriam Davis | D | Jan 2028

Grid, Utilities & State Context

Grid Operator
PJM / Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV) transmission zone
Utilities
Central Virginia Electric Co-op (CVEC), Dominion Energy Virginia (DEV)
State Permitting Process
Local permit: Special Use Permit (SUP) or Conditional Use Permit (CUP) in A-1 Agricultural zoning; issued by Board of Supervisors (BOS) or Planning Commission per county ordinance. Counties without zoning (Buchanan, Russell, Lee, Scott, etc.) proceed via revenue-sharing siting agreements. SCC CPCN: Va. Code §56-580 (as amended by HB 1558/SB 762, eff. Jul 2021) — SCC Certificate of Public Convenience & Necessity required for generating facilities ≥5 MW; waivable for utility-owned projects under SCC-approved IRP. DEQ Permit by Rule (PBR): Required for all solar facilities ≥1 MW per Va. Code §10.1-1197.6; includes VSMP/VPDES erosion & stormwater permits. Mar 2022 DEQ rule: solar panels counted as impervious surface same as parking lots. Revenue sharing: Va. Code §15.2-2288.7 — localities may require up to $1,400/MW-year for utility-scale solar on agricultural or forestal land; increases 10% in year 1 then every 5 years thereafter. VDACS notice: VA Dept. of Agriculture & Consumer Services must be notified for projects converting prime agricultural or forestal land. PENDING LEGISLATION (as of Mar 11, 2026): HB 711 (Herring) / SB 347 (VanValkenburg) both cleared both chambers and await Gov. Spanberger's signature (session ends Mar 14, 2026). If signed: (1) all localities must allow solar ≥1 MW via special exception — outright bans illegal; (2) statewide setback floor: 150–200 ft non-participating dwellings, 50–100 ft from state roads, 100–250 ft from streams/wetlands, 50–75 ft from property lines; (3) localities retain denial authority but must report reasons to SCC public database; (4) companion HB 891/SB 443: BESS permitted accessory use on approved solar SE sites. Spanberger is pro-solar; signature expected. Monitor: lis.virginia.gov.
State Incentives
Virginia Clean Economy Act (VCEA, 2020): Dominion must reach 100% carbon-free by 2045; Appalachian Power by 2050; major driver of utility-scale solar procurement. Net metering: available under VCEA for systems up to 1 MW (by-right); large-scale behind-the-meter negotiated. SCC SolarShare: Dominion program offering renewable energy credits. Virtual net metering (Virginia): programs vary by utility. DEQ review: required for solar facilities ≥150 MW (permit by rule) or DEQ standalone review. Utility: Dominion Energy Virginia serves 2/3 of VA; Appalachian Power (AEP) serves western VA; Northern Virginia Electric Coop (NOVEC) serves NoVA exurbs; various rural cooperatives and municipal utilities.

Development Activity

Active/Completed Projects
Palmer Solar Center | OPERATIONAL 2018 (approved under prior permissive framework)
Denied/Withdrawn Projects
White Oak Tree Solar LLC | 439-acre site | Deferred by Planning Commission Nov 2023 after public opposition; S-1 rezoning now required under Oct 2024 ordinance CEP Solar | 38 MW | near Fork Union | in pipeline, status uncertain under new rules Pine Tree Renewables | 16 MW | off Bremo Road | in pipeline

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